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GP vacancy rate at highest ever, with 50% rise in empty posts

Exclusive GPs are finding it increasingly harder to recruit, with almost one in ten GP partner positions currently vacant, shows a Pulse survey that calls into question promises from all the main parties to extend access to GPs.

The survey of 458 GPs reports finds that 9% of full-time equivalent GP positions are currently unfilled, compared with a 6% vacancy rate last year.

The figures also reveal that it is taking longer to recruit partners, with almost one in five roles taking more than a year to fill, compared with one in 10 vacancies last year.

GPs have told Pulse that they are having to close their doors because they have been unable to recruit partners, even in affluent areas of London.

These are the worst vacancy rates in the four years Pulse has been running the survey, and they come at a time when political parties are pledging to introduce seven-day access, same-day access to GPs for some patients and a GP in every A&E department by next winter.

Several GP partners responding to the survey said they had resorted to financial incentives, also known as golden hello schemes, to attract partners, with a variety of outcomes.

Others had been successful in recruiting only because they offered other benefits such as flexible working hours or promises never to have to work ‘unsocial hours’.

Labour and UKIP both promise to increase GP numbers by 8,000 by 2020, and the Conservatives and Lib Dems both promise 5,000 new GPs.

But GP leaders say that these new figures reinforce the belief that it will be impossible for parties to carry out their election pledges.

Pulse recently revealed almost a third of GP training places across the UK are currently unfilled and recent surveys show many GPs thinking of early retirement and increasing numbers of doctors heading abroad, piling even more pressure on the service

Dr Imogen Bloor has had to close her GP practice in Islington in north London because it was ‘impossible’ to recruit. She told Pulse: ‘We have tried our utmost to find a way of continuing to provide high-quality care for our patients, but we feel unable to take the practice forward.’

Dr Raghunandan Vedapanakal, a GP in Whitehaven, Cumbria, said his practice has been two GPs short for two years, with 13 GPs covering 24,000 patients. He said: ‘We are in a rural area and there is a lack of GPs due to a national crisis. GPs are taking early retirement due to pension reforms, work stress, too much meddling by CCG and the Government. There is increasing demand from an ageing population, stagnant or decreasing income, GPs emigrating and 12-hour working days.’

GPC education and training subcommittee chair Dr Krishna Kasaraneni said he was ‘not surprised’ there statistics are going in the wrong direction and poured scorn on politicians’ claims that they will be able to create 5,000-8,000 new GPs by 2020. He said: ‘Unless someone has a Back to the Future DeLorean they can use to manipulate time, I don’t see how they can create that many GPs in that short time.’

A 10-point plan to tackle GP recruitment and retention worked up by NHS England, Health Education England, the GPC and RCGP got a lukewarm reception from the profession when announced earlier in the year.

The plan focuses on marketing general practice as a career; incentives to work in under-doctored areas; a new national returner and induction scheme; incentives for older GPs to remain in practice; MBA schemes for trainees; and premises funding for practices wanting to work in the new models of care.

How GP vacancy rates have developed

2011: 2.1%

2012: 4.2%

2013: 7.9%

2014: 6.4%

2015: 9.1%

In all years, to work out vacancy rates, Pulse asked: How many full-time equivalent GP positions are there currently at your practice?. We gave six options: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, more than five. When they specified more than five, we asked them to specify more. We then asked: How many of these full-time equivalent GP positions are currently vacant? We gave them the six same options. This year, totalling the answers up from 458 full responses, there were 2,050 GP positions in total. Of these, 187 positions were unfilled (9.1%). See below for more details about the survey.

Other survey results

Have you had to recruit a partner for your practice in the past 12 months?

Yes - 212

If yes, how long did the process take? (If you have not yet recruited, please specify how long you have been looking)

More than 12 months – 18%

6-12 months – 17%

3-6 months – 21%

2-3 months – 20%

1-2 months – 11%

Less than one month – 13%

The survey launched on 9 February 2015, collating responses using the SurveyMonkey tool. The 37 questions covered a wide range of GP topics, to avoid selection bias on one issue. The survey was advertised to readers via our website and email newsletter, with a prize draw for a Samsung HD TV as an incentive to complete the survey. Some 458 GP partners answered these questions.

 

Pulse GP Jobs

Readers' comments (52)

  • Vinci Ho

    While the shortage can be variable in different parts of the country, the overall rise in the total figures , from 2.1 to 9.1% , i.e. multiplied 4.5 times. Yes, you can choose not to believe( lies, damned lies and statistics) BUT
    If this is coupled with politicians unreservedly and dishonestly promised more and more to deliver , without understanding how to address the problems in the roots, this is a CRISIS , no doubt.
    Crisis needs crisis management , nobody has a clue so far , only paranoia and knee jerk reflexes .....:

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  • My previously thriving practice is floundering

    A f/t partner left after a nervous breakdown 3 years ago and was never replaced due to the appalling recruitment crisis causing massive workload increase for the remaining partners

    Another partner has had a nervous breakdown and is leaving

    We will probably accept a takeover from a neighbouring practice and become salaried employees - that way they take all the liabilities

    I'm relocating anyway

    Bye bye partnership, it's all over, and frankly, I'm not shedding any tears

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  • If primary care was the sinking ship we are getting closer(if we not their already) where it back is broken.The deck chairs are still being shuffled around by those who should no better.Us in stearage will be almost copletely gone soon.Good luck everyone.

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  • Pay them and they will come.

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  • Do the maths . Revalidation + reduced pension + loss of seniority + increased work load + press vilification + CQC = mass exodus

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  • Pay them and they will come.

    Agreed.

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  • Add one more next year when I touch 55 :)
    At least 6 more vacancies of which I know will arise in the locality next year.
    We are looking at a mass exodus and thanks to the Conservatives the destruction will be complete and plan accomplished. Thatcher ruined lives by liquidating jobs and livelihoods. Cameron and gang continue to wreak havoc on the NHS with their bulldozer called NHSE that has run amok. Survivors if any will be left heavily scarred.

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  • Remember medics and GP's are highly skilled with high IQ's and EQ's. You can adapt in almost any other industry. Do not restrict yourselves - there are plenty of places where dr's will be valued

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  • The spate of alarmist headlines continue.An increase from one vacancy to two constitutes a 100% increase.The absolute figures are still small and can be explained away by historical and regional variability.Keep crying wolf and you know what happens.

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  • @GP partner 9:52: please check - almost 460 GP jobs advertised on this site alone...is that really crying wolf?

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  • @GP 9.52am

    Are you saying there isn't a recruitment crisis? Any practice that is looking will understand the truth of the matter.

    Keep burying your head in the sand and you know what happens.

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  • @GP 9.52am

    Are you Dr Dan Poulter?

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  • Vinci Ho

    Please keep sending your comments.
    Yes , my real name is 'conspiracy theorist'.

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  • I've had over 10 jobs offers and thats just visiting practices..there is a crisis. the good practices are recruiting nurses and NP's and have a survival plan. other practices are waiting for a white knight. some have their heads so far in the sand - I have one practice where the senior GP and (CCG lead) is planning for 7 day working -none of the other partners want it and she's planning to retire in August..perverse!

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  • The really important figures here are the proportion of jobs that take over 6 months to fill i.e. 35%

    18% take more than a year to fill which means that the remaining partners are struggling with increased workloads.

    And it is going to get worse.... seniority pay is still there for most, pension changes only just started, 7 day working not yet a reality in most areas, another year of pay cuts just started and some waiting for the result of the election before making up their minds.

    Yes, there really is a crisis.

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  • Bob Hodges

    "Anonymous | GP Partner | 29 April 2015 9:52am"

    It's our old friend from Nottingham again I reckon!

    The guy that's holding the telescope up to his blind eye and confidently declares that he sees no ships.

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  • Sorry Dr Hodges I cannot let that one pass. The hero said "I really don't see the signal." I will go in 5 years at 58...if I make it that long, which I often doubt. I do a day a week in ED. I see patients for up to 30-40 mins each, no letters to read, no phone messages or interruptions, only test results on the patients I have seen that day. Then I go back to general practice...it's not hard to see why we're having trouble.

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  • Sanjeev Juneja

    Here we go again!! Can I just remind you that Margaret Thatcher resigned in November 1990............. yes almost a quarter of a century ago!!!

    We cannot keep harping on about this and expect to be taken seriously.

    There have been 4 Prime Ministers in that quarter century 2 Labour, 2 Conservative and the current ConDem!!

    There have also been 11 Health Secretaries in that period 3 Conservative, 6 Labour and 2 ConDem!!!

    This just goes to prove that it doesn't matter who's in charge the Government will always cock it up.

    Move on and make suggestions for the future, we cannot, and will not, move forward while we keep harping on about the 15 "has been's" named above.

    The future of GP is now, not then, and very much in the collective hands of the GP's should they choose to come together and act before its too late!!

    Perhaps its just easier to come on here and continually blame someone else!!!

    That way our consciences can remain clear?

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  • A few years ago we replaced a retiring partner and had 150+ applicants this year we are trying to replace two and have had 9 applicants!! The practice has not changed other than to improve. There is a crisis and no amount of political promises will fix it soon.

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  • They're plan is succeeding. They are not worried.

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